Челси-МЮ: статистические наблюдения перед матчем, выкладка цифр
Челси-МЮ: статистические наблюдения перед матчем

Челси-МЮ: статистические наблюдения перед матчем

Челси-МЮ: статистические наблюдения перед матчем
17 февраля 2020

Немного статистики перед сегодняшнем матчем. Чтобы понимать, что у нас по цифрам.

У Пенсионеров больше ударов, голов, процент владения, пасов…но:

Относительные показатели оценки всегда интереснее, чем абсолютные.

  1. МЮ — 0,0965 big chances/sh
  2. Челси — 0,1204 big chances/sh

Челси создаёт хорошие голевые моменты чаще, однако конвертация больших шансов в голы у Юнайтед выше, что с одной стороны говорит о классной реализации таких моментов у Дьяволов, но и о недостатке таковых по сравнению с Челси.

  1. МЮ — 0,035 сrosses/passes
  2. Челси — 0,037 crosses/passes

Челси навешивает немного больше, чем Юнайтед, и по количеству и по частоте.

Очередное доказательство того, что обвинения Оле в отсутствии построения игры — чушь.

  1. МЮ — 229,82 pas/possession
  2. Челси — 247,87 pas/possession

Количество пасов на процент владения, тут Челси тоже впереди, больший акцент на владение через пас.

Статистика скорее для сравнения стилей команд, у Юнайтед лучше точность ударов, выше конвертация голевых моментов в голы, но хуже показатели владения, что говорит о большем крене в контратакующую игру, чем у Челси.

Правда существует ещё понятие «быстрых атак», это можно условно охарактеризовать показателем:

  1. МЮ — 358,1 passes/goals
  2. Челси — 345,3 passes/goals

Опять же у МЮ наблюдается чуть большее стерильное владение, но и о качестве созидательных игроков забывать не стоит.

Сколько xG создает и допускает Манчестер Юнайтед каждые 15 минут матча. 

За 15 минут до перерыва нужно быть поосторожнее у своих ворот.

У Челси четко видна периодизация атакующих всплесков на 15+ минуте первого тайма, 45+ и 75+ минутах второго тайма, при этом xGf в принципе довольно ровный у лондонцев.
Очень сильно проседают аристократы в обороне в концовках матчей, это надо учитывать.

У МЮ тот же всплеск на 15+ минутах первого тайма, пусть и не такой значимый, но во втором тайме все идёт по-нарастающей, достигая максимального пика в концовке для обеих команд.

Манкунианцам нужно очень серьезно озадачиться обороной в последние 15 минут первого тайма, им не хватает концентрации после атакующего всплеска.

В целом:

Ожидается, что Челси забьют во втором тайме в начале или концовке, но наибольший шанс в конце первого тайма.

МЮ должны использовать вторую половину второго тайма и концовку матча в свою пользу. Эх, это так по-манкуниански).

Бонус

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